Auckland City vs Boca Juniors: prediction & betting odds 24 June 2025

Matchday 3 of the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup between Auckland City (New Zealand) and Boca Juniors (Argentina) will take place on June 24 at Geodis Park in Nashville, USA. Auckland City vs. Boca Juniors: prediction and betting odds, statistics.

Auckland City

The New Zealand club has suffered heavy defeats in the previous two rounds: 0-10 against Bayern Munich and 0-6 against Benfica. The team has yet to score, and in the previous two matches, they have managed only three shots on target. Auckland City sits at the bottom of Group C and has no chance of advancing to the playoffs.

  • The New Zealand team has not won in their last 10 FIFA Club World Cup matches (2 draws, 8 losses).
  • The team failed to score in 5 of their last 6 matches in this tournament.
  • Auckland City has conceded no more than 6 goals in 13 of their last 14 FIFA Club World Cup matches.

Predicted lineup for Auckland City (5-2-3)

Nathan Garrow – Adam Mitchell, Nikko Boxall, Adam Bell, Jerson Lagos, Michael Den Heijer – Tong Zhou, Mario Ilich – Myer Bevan, David Yu, Harris Zeb.

Boca Juniors

The Argentinians drew 2-2 with Benfica and then lost 1-2 to Bayern Munich. In the match against Bayern, Boca Juniors was close to securing a draw but conceded six minutes before the end of the second half. With one point, they are third in the table but still have a chance to advance to the playoffs. To progress, they need to win the upcoming match and hope that Benfica loses to Bayern, with the goal difference in favor of Boca Juniors.

  • The team has scored at least 1 goal in 5 of their last 6 matches in the FIFA Club World Cup and the Copa Libertadores.
  • Boca Juniors has drawn 8 of their last 11 matches in these tournaments.

Predicted lineup for Boca Juniors (4-2-3-1)

Agustin Marchesin – Lautaro Di Lollo, Luis Advincula, Ayrton Costa, Lautaro Blanco – Rodrigo Battaglia, Tomas Belmonte – Carlos Palacios, Kevin Zenon, Alan Velasco – Miguel Merentiel.

Midfielder Ander Herrera and defender Jorge Nicolas Figal are suspended for the upcoming match. Defender Ayrton Costa is injured.

Referee

Glenn Nyberg (Sweden)

Matches – 13 (International matches, 2024/25);

Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 46;

Average yellow cards per match – 3.5;

Red cards shown – 1;

Average fouls per match – 24;

Penalties – 23%.

Match Prediction: Auckland City vs. Boca Juniors

For the Argentinians, it will be crucial to score as many goals as possible in the upcoming match. If Benfica loses to Bayern, the second place will go to the team with the better goal difference. Currently, Boca Juniors has a negative goal difference. The Portuguese team scored 6 goals against Auckland, and Boca Juniors might not even achieve such a result to advance to the playoffs. I'm confident that the Argentinians will attack from start to finish.

The New Zealanders were fortunate in the first half against Benfica. Despite having complete control, the Portuguese team only scored one penalty goal due to a lackadaisical approach. Such an attitude is not expected from the Argentinians. South American teams generally perform well in this tournament, and the additional motivation will only increase Boca Juniors' desire to dominate their opponent. Auckland has conceded an average of 7.3 goals in their last three FIFA Club World Cup matches. They should prepare for another heavy defeat.

My prediction: Boca Juniors Individual Total Over 6.5

Auckland City — Boca Juniors betting tips 24 June 2025

Heading into the final round, Boca Juniors still have a chance of reaching the play-offs, but they must thrash Auckland City by a large margin and hope that Benfica suffer a defeat. It is not just a win that Boca Juniors need—they require a goal-fest. However, Auckland City will be highly motivated to finish their tournament campaign with a respectable performance.

Auckland City remain in dominant form. Although the level of football in their confederation is clearly below that of other continents, they continue to show resilience. Against Bayern Munich and Benfica, the New Zealanders conceded a total of 16 goals. Nevertheless, goalkeeper Nathan Garrow stood out by making 10 saves in the match against the Portuguese side. Despite two heavy defeats, the squad has displayed notable discipline, having not received a single yellow card.

Boca Juniors do not appear capable of achieving the required winning margin. Against Bayern Munich and Benfica, they averaged only 0.76 xG. Their attacking output has been problematic, particularly in the absence of Edinson Cavani. Moreover, key forward Miguel Merentiel is a doubt for the upcoming fixture, having been substituted in the match against Bayern Munich. It is also worth noting that Boca Juniors have not won a match by a margin greater than five goals since December 2021.

While the favourite in the upcoming match is clear, the necessary margin of victory is simply too high to justify a confident bet on a rout. We believe Auckland City will lose by a relatively small margin. Given the weakened attacking options of Boca Juniors, they should be able to cover the +5.5 handicap.

Betting prediction
Auckland City (+5.5)
Cf
Odds
3/4
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Auckland City vs Boca Juniors Odds

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FIFA Club World Cup: previous matches in the tournament

Auckland City
20.06.25
Benfica
Auckland City
L
15.06.25
Bayern Munich
Auckland City
L
More matches
Boca Juniors
21.06.25
Bayern Munich
Boca Juniors
L
16.06.25
Boca Juniors
Benfica
D
More matches

Group stage

FIFA Club World Cup: Group C
Team
Played
Matches played
W
D
L
Goals
Goals
Points
Points
1
Bayern Munich
  -:- 2:1 10:0 2 2 0 0
12:1
6
2
Benfica
-:-   -:- 6:0 2 1 1 0
8:2
4
3
Boca Juniors
-:- 2:2   -:- 2 0 1 1
3:4
1
4
Auckland City
-:- -:- -:-   2 0 0 2
0:16
0

Team lineups

The line-ups will be known a few hours before kick-off
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